Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000484 0.000523 0.000564 0.000609 0.000658 0.000709 0.000767
2026-01-11 0.000428 0.000483 0.000542 0.000610 0.000687 0.000772 0.000871
2026-01-18 0.000388 0.000453 0.000526 0.000613 0.000715 0.000831 0.000973
2026-01-25 0.000354 0.000426 0.000509 0.000612 0.000737 0.000882 0.001065
2026-02-01 0.000321 0.000397 0.000487 0.000602 0.000745 0.000916 0.001138
2026-02-08 0.000294 0.000373 0.000469 0.000594 0.000753 0.000950 0.001211
2026-02-15 0.000272 0.000353 0.000453 0.000587 0.000762 0.000983 0.001283
2026-02-22 0.000253 0.000335 0.000439 0.000581 0.000770 0.001014 0.001352
2026-03-01 0.000236 0.000319 0.000426 0.000575 0.000777 0.001043 0.001421
2026-03-08 0.000220 0.000302 0.000411 0.000565 0.000778 0.001063 0.001476
2026-03-15 0.000206 0.000288 0.000398 0.000556 0.000780 0.001084 0.001533
2026-03-22 0.000190 0.000270 0.000379 0.000540 0.000769 0.001087 0.001564
2026-03-29 0.000176 0.000255 0.000365 0.000529 0.000767 0.001104 0.001619
2026-04-05 0.000167 0.000246 0.000358 0.000528 0.000780 0.001143 0.001708
2026-04-12 0.000159 0.000239 0.000353 0.000529 0.000796 0.001187 0.001807
2026-04-19 0.000151 0.000230 0.000346 0.000528 0.000808 0.001224 0.001897
2026-04-26 0.000142 0.000220 0.000335 0.000519 0.000807 0.001243 0.001959
2026-05-03 0.000134 0.000210 0.000325 0.000512 0.000809 0.001265 0.002026
2026-05-10 0.000126 0.000202 0.000317 0.000506 0.000812 0.001289 0.002098
2026-05-17 0.000120 0.000194 0.000309 0.000501 0.000815 0.001313 0.002170
2026-05-24 0.000114 0.000187 0.000301 0.000495 0.000818 0.001337 0.002243
2026-05-31 0.000107 0.000179 0.000292 0.000487 0.000815 0.001350 0.002298
2026-06-07 0.000102 0.000171 0.000284 0.000479 0.000814 0.001366 0.002359